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Federal Reserve: Knife-edge policy risks surprise – ING

ING’s Padhraic Garvey expects the Federal Reserve (Fed) to leave rates unchanged at the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, with odds seen around 60:40 for no move.

Euro holds near recent lows as Fed interest rate decision looms

EUR/USD struggles for direction on Tuesday as traders avoid taking directional positions ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate decision on Wednesday while closely monitoring US-Iran devel ...

DXY could complete this Wave with a $1.02 Handle [Video]

Coach discusses the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and explains why he believes the current wave could complete near the 1.02 level. Once that target is reached, his preferred short opportunity is USD/CAD, a ...

Euro: Pressured by softer ECB expectations – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight a softer Euro (EUR), with EUR/USD drifting toward the mid-1.13s and levels last seen in May 2025.

US CB Consumer Confidence Index eases to 90.8 in July

US consumer sentiment loses some momentum in July, as the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index recedes to 90.8 from June’s 92.2 (revised from 91.2).

Why hot Australian inflation could reignite the Reserve Bank of Australia hike debate

The Australian Dollar (AUD) is balancing stickier-than-expected domestic inflation against broader global market volatility.

United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index below forecasts (10) in July: Actual (5)

Swiss Franc: Weak performance tied to carry and Gold – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists argue that the Swiss Franc’s (CHF) underperformance since the February 2026 Iran shock reflects both low-yield carry dynamics and sensitivity to Gold prices.

BoJ set to stay on hold, but can it throw the yen a lifeline? – Preview

Having delivered a 25bp rate hike in June, lifting borrowing costs to a 31-year high, the Bank of Japan is widely expected to leave its policy rate unchanged at 1.00% on Friday.

Australian Dollar: RBA pause risk weighs on Aussie – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that Australian Dollar (AUD) is underperforming after Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock balanced a hawkish bias with a messa ...

Two things rule the wave: The ceasefire and the Fed

The three central banks meeting this week are all expected to stay on hold, with the economic forecasts and the Warsh press conference getting the attention.

Canadian Dollar: Limited upside for CAD against US Dollar – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note USD/CAD is trading near fair value around 1.4115, with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) constrained by wide short-term rate differentials versus the ...